Description: The author, Mary Pat Campbell, participated in the 4th season of the Good Judgment Project, a prediction tournament. She explains the basic metric used for evaluating predictions in the contest and some of the lessons learned from her participation.

Description: A look at the COVID-19 crisis in 2020, and how it differs from both prior financial crises and pandemics. The COVID-19 pandemic gives actuaries an opportunity to assess different ways risk may interact, and thereby adjust the profession’s work for the future.

Description: Report on the EuSpRIG Annual Meeting last July in Paris, which focused on modeling.

Description: A summary of Modeling Section-sponsored sessions at the 2016 Life/Annuity Symposium, covering model risk management, model governance, and model efficiency.

Description: As of September 2021, there are 8 recorded webinars available for free to Modeling Section members. Each of the 8 are described, as well as how to access them. There are other Modeling Section-related materials also pointed out (podcasts & newsletter)

Description: Brief summaries of two sessions at the 2010 SOA Annual Meeting: Joint Technology and Entrepreneurial Actuaries sections' reception and The Actuarial Technology Perfect Storm.

Description: The author reviews a book the debunks some of the hype we read about using quantity at the expense of quality. She also points out some unrealistic outcomes when data scientists lack business knowledge.

Description: After research involving auto insurance is retracted due to fraud, I revisit my own book review and unskeptical quoting of that now-debunked research. A lesson in ASOP 23, on Data Quality, ensues, as it seems data in the research was falsified. There is also a lesson in ASOP 56, Modeling, which includes aspects of relying on outside experts for model input. At the end of it all, the value of our actuarial professional standards, in light of other professions seemingly having no standards (or no serious repercussions for breaching said standards), shines through. Also, be skeptical of 'one simple trick' approaches to transform the insurance industry.

Description: The author has gathered a variety of resources, general theories, and specific practices concerning spreadsheet errors and their avoidance.

Description: In this report, we consider high-level results from provisional mortality data released from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for 2021, including looking at changes by sex and age group.